Questions and answers

How do you assess the impact on fantasy value when a player is moved to sixth overall after starting?

Typically there will be a decline in playing time and usage, but some players (like Lou Williams or Tyrese Maxey) can thrive as a second unit leader with a lot of autonomy. Look at historical data on player moves to the bench.

How does a player’s value change when a head coach changes?

Study the coach’s history: preferred pace of play, minute distribution, emphasis on certain types of players, rotation depth. Some coaches can dramatically change the value of certain players (especially young players or weak-defensive guards/forwards).

How do you determine if a player’s “hand” will last?

Compare current numbers to historical data, evaluate the sustainability of success factors (injuries to other players, easy schedule, temporary role changes), and look at supporting metrics (minutes, usage, shot attempts).

How do you evaluate a rookie’s fantasy potential?

Consider: the possibility of getting consistent minutes, the team’s position (competitive vs. developing), the rookie’s style relative to the NBA, his physicality, the difficulty of his position to adapt to (guards usually take longer).

Should you keep a star player with a long-term injury?

The decision depends on: the availability of IL slots, your position in the standings, the time until the playoffs, the severity of the injury, the player’s history of returning from injuries, and the availability of quality replacements on waivers.

What is the optimal strategy for fantasy league playoffs?

For the playoffs, the following are important: the number of games your players’ teams play in crucial weeks, the risk of resting stars on teams that have already secured the playoffs or lost their chances, and consistent performance vs. fluctuating but high-ceiling performance.

How do you determine whether to keep or take a player who recently joined a new team?

Evaluate: his role and expected minutes on the new team, the team’s play style, the presence of competition at the position, the player’s history of adapting to new teams, and how his playing style fits with the new coach’s system.